Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.259322 11.830167 13.516080 15.454804 17.617230 19.949513 22.649627
2025-08-31 7.730774 9.760573 12.098776 14.971435 18.384376 22.287733 27.066334
2025-09-07 6.447606 8.723676 11.488819 15.054845 19.487509 24.769670 31.489002
2025-09-14 5.502184 7.905765 10.962243 15.068265 20.366474 26.894351 35.457217
2025-09-21 4.835548 7.331537 10.636328 15.236417 21.365123 29.132090 39.584571
2025-09-28 4.239794 6.764288 10.235949 15.229593 22.079576 30.983813 43.243407
2025-10-05 3.873883 6.468247 10.157683 15.618844 23.300927 33.505351 47.828655
2025-10-12 3.526149 6.152651 10.009900 15.876566 24.325794 35.776971 52.138073
2025-10-19 3.180880 5.797672 9.764044 15.957722 25.082034 37.686809 56.000553
2025-10-26 2.762552 5.276563 9.217423 15.544025 25.086013 38.530023 58.400861
2025-11-02 2.426977 4.851022 8.775659 15.244071 25.217997 39.530769 61.023659
2025-11-09 2.130079 4.455663 8.343559 14.918737 25.277146 40.406441 63.472266
2025-11-16 1.871096 4.100181 7.949760 14.630324 25.380943 41.358015 66.079370
2025-11-23 1.614441 3.716474 7.472534 14.167627 25.179450 41.836561 67.998761
2025-11-30 1.474046 3.537727 7.332146 14.247318 25.826850 43.596827 71.847295
2025-12-07 1.339047 3.352413 7.162155 14.260142 26.357822 45.186788 75.476481
2025-12-14 1.237836 3.223866 7.083246 14.420830 27.129868 47.164549 79.738399
2025-12-21 1.125751 3.057473 6.917974 14.414309 27.616388 48.703327 83.363075
2025-12-28 1.068115 3.004041 6.963571 14.786336 28.751198 51.294556 88.674170
2026-01-04 1.001178 2.920867 6.943005 15.032695 29.676194 53.572669 93.550420
2026-01-11 0.922765 2.800346 6.836820 15.110280 30.306834 55.388449 97.739856
2026-01-18 0.807844 2.574356 6.493996 14.714822 30.083277 55.795765 99.695903
2026-01-25 0.714910 2.389071 6.218561 14.428145 30.033365 56.477313 102.095867